Probabilité implicite actuelle
Marine Le Pen 79%+48.0%En tête parmi 37 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9,6 k €
Liquidité
383,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
40.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-65.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
1 juin 26, 23:4030 avr. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Marine Le Pen79%
Comparer les plateformes· Marine Le Pen
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | 79% | — | 9,6 k € | 383,4 k € | il y a 25 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets | 47% | — | — | — | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
9mo
-26.8%36.5%
+29.6%46.7%
45.4%
+13 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire22 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total5,4 k €
Volume 24h358,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$11.0k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".