KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Marine Le Pen 84%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
955,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:00 UTC17 avr. 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Conseil constitutionnel
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
- If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No. If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour French presidential election: who will advance? ?
- Kalshi cote Marine Le Pen à 84% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand French presidential election: who will advance? sera-t-il résolu ?
- French presidential election: who will advance? doit être résolu le 17 avril 2028.
- Comment French presidential election: who will advance? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.