KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Marine Le Pen · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
Marine Le Pen 83.5%En tête parmi 13 options
Marine Le Pen 83.5%Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
39,4 €
Intérêt ouvert
12,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Marine Le PenÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:00 UTC17 avr. 28, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Marine Le Pen
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiNext French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Conseil constitutionnel
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernard Cazeneuve
- If Bernard Cazeneuve is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sébastien Lecornu
- If Sébastien Lecornu is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Élisabeth Borne
- If Élisabeth Borne is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Olivier Faure
- If Olivier Faure is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.