KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%En tête parmi 14 options
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
3,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Jean-Luc MélenchonÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard12 oct. 26, 20:00 UTC18 avr. 28, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
KalshiMadrid regional election: 2nd place
KalshiNorthern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place
KalshiEl Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRègles
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 2nd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.