KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Sep 1, 2026 9%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
13,1 k €
Liquidité
290,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.0% / 1.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
7 avr. 26, 0:001 août 26, 3:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Aug 1, 20261%
Comparer les plateformes· Before Sep 1, 2026
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 100% | — | 973 € | 23,6 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Moyenne | 9% | — | 13,1 k € | 290,2 k € | il y a 15 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
0.3 pts3j
100%
0%
75 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total108,2 k €
Volume 24h973 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$14.9k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.