KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 19:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2029 87.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Before Jan 1, 2029 87.5%Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert
473,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard28 août 26, 17:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiRègles
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.