KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 27%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
275,8 €
Liquidité
29,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
28 août 26, 17:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRègles
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pete Hegseth departure announced? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 27% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pete Hegseth departure announced? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pete Hegseth departure announced? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Pete Hegseth departure announced? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.