KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2027 30%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jan 1, 2027 30%Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
49,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
28 août 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.