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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 20:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 6%-0.3pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.2% / 7.2%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
7 avr. 26, 02:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pete Hegseth impeached by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31, à 6% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pete Hegseth impeached by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pete Hegseth impeached by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Pete Hegseth impeached by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET.