Probabilité implicite actuelle
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96%+0.1%En tête parmi 46 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
7,1 k €
Liquidité
379,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.6% / 7.7%
Spread
1.3%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+3.9%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
22 avr. 26, 22:2517 avr. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Tendance du volume
$8.1k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
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Clacton by-election Winner
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Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
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422,3 €Labour: 0.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next leader of the Labour Party after Andy Burnham?
170,5 €Angela Rayner: 9.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
- If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.