Probabilité implicite actuelle
6 38%-2.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
528,7 €
Liquidité
23,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
36.0% / 40.0%
Spread
11.1%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-3.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
8 juil. 26, 23:3531 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
638%
Comparer les plateformes· 6
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 38% | — | 528,7 € | 23,6 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 Kalshi96% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 99% | — | 0 € | 1,4 k € | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
5mo
99%
93%
79%
+2 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
- Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$6019 juil.18j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
2,2 k €Magdalena Andersson: 81%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
512,2 €Oui: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
On which days will Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister
140,6 €1 July 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
83,5 €Oui: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat will the top two parties be in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
14,4 €Reform, Conservatives: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next General Election - Overall Majority
9,7 €Advance UK Majority: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
- Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).