Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 2 41%-1.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
510,8 €
Liquidité
20,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
35.0% / 39.0%
Spread
11.4%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
1 avr. 26, 14:002 déc. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 241%
Tendance du volume
$5812 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
10,7 k €Oui: 34%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1,6 k €Oui: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
868,2 €<4m: 23%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
388 €Lala: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
26,4 €Oui: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
8,8 €Oui: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.