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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Science
  3. How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

4.0% (24h)ScienceWeatherYearly5mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 2
Above 2 67%-4.0%
En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

3,3 €

Liquidité

136,8 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

65.0% / 69.0%

Spread

6.2%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

1 avr. 26, 14:002 déc. 26, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Above 267%

Règles

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

0 €
Above 0: 99%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,4 €
2nd hottest: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,3 €
Oui: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

95,1 €
<4m: 50%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Oui: 32%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
Oui: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,741.49+1.74%EthereumETH$1,654.91+1.01%SolanaSOL$65.03+0.77%HyperliquidHYPE$55.81-0.44%XRPXRP$1.12-0.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.99%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.