How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
11.5 pts (24h)WeatherOne-Off3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
1-3 45%-13.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,1 k €
Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+35.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
28 juil. 26, 20:51 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
- The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
