KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 4 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 4 5%En tête parmi 9 options
Above 4 5%Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
233,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
40,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 4Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
1 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC2 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 0s (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 4
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWill the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceed 1 in October 2026?
ForecastExIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 4
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 9 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 15 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
