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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Weather
  3. How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

24.0% (24h)WeatherYearly5mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 5
Above 5 39%-24.0%
En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

7,8 €

Liquidité

106,4 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

40.0% / 64.0%

Spread

60.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

1 avr. 26, 14:002 déc. 26, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Above 539%

Règles

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,6 €
2nd hottest: 86%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,4 €
Oui: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

86,7 €
Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 54.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

86,5 €
<4m: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Oui: 32%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
Oui: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,833.97+2.59%EthereumETH$1,655.52+2.07%SolanaSOL$65.33+3.00%HyperliquidHYPE$55.81+0.36%XRPXRP$1.12+0.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.83%

Règles

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.