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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Science
  3. Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.5% (24h)ScienceWeatherYearly3mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
<4m
<4m 51%+4.0%
En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

95,1 €

Liquidité

8,3 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

24.3% / 30.0%

Spread

23.5%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-1.1%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

20 nov. 25, 23:561 oct. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

<4m51%

Règles

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

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0 €
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

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2: 63%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,722.62+1.63%EthereumETH$1,655.46+0.90%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.55%HyperliquidHYPE$55.68-0.33%XRPXRP$1.11-0.32%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.71%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.