KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 2 94%+16.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
591,3 €
Liquidité
3,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
13.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
2 juin 26, 14:00 UTC29 juin 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program
Marchés ouverts
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 141,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 72,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 71,6 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Major volcano eruption in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 2 à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Major volcano eruption in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026? doit être résolu le 29 juin 2027.
- Comment Major volcano eruption in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.