KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
South Sudan 52%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 16 options
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
165,6 €
Liquidité
113,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
16 mai 26, 21:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiConfirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the named outcome is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
- Animal cases do not qualify.
- The case must be confirmed in the named outcome — a citizen of the named outcome diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
- Imported cases diagnosed within the named outcome do count.
- Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 30,4 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote South Sudan à 52% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the named outcome is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.