KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2035 50.4%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
546,4 €
Liquidité
28,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
7.7 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
20 déc. 25, 3:002 janv. 27, 3:00
Tendances
Règles
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2035 à 50% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
