KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2030 12%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
98,1 €
Faible liquiditéDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC7 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?
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KalshiWhen will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWhen will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
KalshiRègles
If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostThe Economistthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReuters
- For purposes of this Contract, P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will P vs NP be resolved? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2030 à 12% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will P vs NP be resolved? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will P vs NP be resolved? doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will P vs NP be resolved? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.