Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 77.2%+2.0pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
271,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.0% / 32.0%
Écart
19.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+9.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 nov. 25, 22:09 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWho will win gold medal at 2026 Indonesia National Math Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
- If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.3pt61.4%
- ChatGPT22.8%
- Grok-2.0pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,2 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-1.0pt62.6%
- 2027-1.5pt30.3%
- 2026-2.5pt7.1%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,-4.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+7.0pt79%
- claude-opus-5-max+2.0pt5%
- claude-opus-5-high-2.0pt4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202797%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 202794%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.0pt87%
- October 31-5.0pt72%
- September 30-18.0pt11%
+4 résultats de plus
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 77% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.