Prévision communautaire actuelle
OpenAI 37.4%+17.4ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+17.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 26, 00:50 UTC1 janv. 31, 00:48 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we be able to solve all NP problems in polynomial time by 2200? (any practical computation method, e.g. BPP, BQP)
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the entity or organization that is primarily credited with providing the first widely accepted proof resolving the "P versus NP" problem (whether $P = NP$ or $P \neq NP$).
- Verification Standard: A solution will be considered valid if it meets consensus acceptance within the theoretical computer science / mathematics community, signified by:
- Acceptance and publication in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or theoretical computer science journal, and/or
- Formal recognition by the Clay Mathematics Institute for the Millennium Prize Problem award.
- Answer Options:
