Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
17 juil. 25, 00:43 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ozempic/GLP-1 Agonists become an issue with a clear partisan divide in the US in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?
Manifold MarketsWhen will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRègles
Any nobel prize (though medicine is most likely) primarily for the development of or work done on GLP-1 drugs or any specific drugs in this category, including semaglutide, tirzepatide, etc
