PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 5%
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
145,3 k €
Liquidité
651,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
5.0% / 5.1%
Spread
2.0%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-1.4%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
4 mai 26, 14:3331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
6mo
2.5%
97.5%
Prévision communautaire332 prévisionnistesType: binary
Volume total230,2 k €
Volume 24h18,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.