PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 8%
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,7 k €
Liquidité
142,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
15 mai 26, 20:2431 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes8%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
6mo
5%
95%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total362,7 €
Volume 24h16,6 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.