Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
3.1 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffPolitiqueUS Politics3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 95%
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
27,9 €
Liquidité
39,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.9% / 7.9%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
8 déc. 25, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWill hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiWhen, where or how will Trump die?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- Clarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure.
- This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria.
- An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 920,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4 k €
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 868,1 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 612,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 k €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 95% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.