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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. When, where or how will Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?

When, where or how will Trump die?

PolitiqueOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsÉlectionIAGéopolitique18a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
2025
2025 0%
En tête parmi 77 options
Prévisionnistes

321

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 10 heures

Obsolète
4 janv. 25, 15:151 janv. 45, 22:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

20264%

Règles

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if:

Marchés Associés

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

89,1 €
Trump bans abortion nationwide: 5.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

0 €
~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?

117,1 €
Engineered pandemic: 13.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

0 €
Oui: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

0 €
Oui: 6%KalshiKALSHI
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

2,6 €
Before Jan 1, 2027: 74%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,963.66+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.34+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.39+1.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.59%BNBBNB$597.22+1.84%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News

Règles

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if: