When, where or how will Trump die?
PolitiqueOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsÉlectionIAGéopolitique18a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
On Earth 99%En tête parmi 87 options
Prévisionnistes
345
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 janv. 25, 15:15 UTC1 janv. 45, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When, where or how will Trump die? ?
- Manifold Markets cote On Earth à 99% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand When, where or how will Trump die? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When, where or how will Trump die? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2045.
- Comment When, where or how will Trump die? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.