When, where or how will Trump die?
PolitiqueOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsÉlectionIAGéopolitique18a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOn Earth 99%En tête parmi 79 options
Prévisionnistes
323
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
4 janv. 25, 15:151 janv. 45, 22:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
20264%
Tendance du volume
$229 juil.11j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
26 €Trump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?
40,4 €No announcement by December 31: 41%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
California Clinic Funding Proposition
44 €Oui: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
303,7 €December 31: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
22,2 €Mychajlo Fedorov: 38.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
44 €Oui: 49.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecryptRègles
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: