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When or where will Trump die?
9a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCAlertes
Suivez ce marche pour creer des alertes.
Contexte de prévision
Prévision communautaire actuelle
2025 0%
Prévisionnistes
141
Type de question
multiple choice
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
ObsolèteDernière mise à jour: 13 avr., 11:46
Se resout
1 janv. 2036, 22:59
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-
Début 4 janv. 2025, 15:15Fin 1 janv. 2036, 22:59
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources
- The exact date of death cannot be determined
- The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear
Sujets
PolitiqueIAGéopolitique
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