Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.1%
Prévisionnistes
366
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 25, 07:45 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump Die before 2027
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PolymarketRègles
Will Donald Trump die of natural causes or other causes in 2026?
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies from any cause (natural or otherwise) at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.) reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is 79 years old and the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump Die in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump Die in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump Die in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump Die in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Donald Trump die of natural causes or other causes in 2026?