Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
28 janv. 26, 03:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Trump Die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketIf Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Trump is alive on January 1, 2027.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- Trump's 2018 coronary CT calcium scan score indicates he has coronary artery disease.
