PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
June 30, 2027 12%
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15 k €
Liquidité
28,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.5% / 4.0%
Écart
0.5 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
19 sept. 26, 00:27 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsIs African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsHealthcare AI adoption in September
KalshiPandemic in 2026?
KalshiWas the 2021 Ebola outbreak caused by a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 199,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10 M €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 153,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 171 k €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 199,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Anthropic lab leak by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote June 30, 2027 à 12% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Anthropic lab leak by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment Anthropic lab leak by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.