LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 15:56 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30, 2027 7%
June 30, 2027 7%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
30 sept. 26, 13:25 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Anthropic lab leak by...? · June 30, 2027 7%
