In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?
One-OffSanté et médecineScience2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.7%
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57
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
28 déc. 23, 16:15 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will support a lab leak theory of Covid's origin, in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_lab_leak_theory
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Origin_of_COVID-19
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_misinformation
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wuhan_Institute_of_Virology
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2
