KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 66%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
29.0% / 34.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
27 juin 25, 20:45 UTC1 janv. 50, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have high-speed rail by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWhich is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:NASAESASpaceXBlue Originthe Chinese National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe California High-Speed Rail Authoritythe Federal Railroad Administrationthe California Department of TransportationThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 66% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.