On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
0.7 pts (24h)WeatherYearly2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleWill Gonzalo reach Category 1 wind speeds? 36.8%-0.7ptEn tête parmi 105 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-4.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
4 sept. 25, 15:05 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
KalshiNumber of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
KalshiWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 10 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 9 in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
- Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.
- Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
- MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET
