On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
WeatherYearly4moManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleWill Hanna reach Category 1 wind speeds? 55.2%En tête parmi 105 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
4 sept. 25, 15:0530 nov. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Will Cristobal reach Category 1 wind speeds?42%
Tendance du volume
$94511 juil.15j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
825,6 €Oui: 36%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
650,2 €Above 4: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
471,8 €Above 12: 32%KALSHI
KALSHI
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
191,3 €Oui: 7%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
154,7 €14–16: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
135,3 €<4m: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Règles
Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
- Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.
- Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
- MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET