KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 89%
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,5 €
Liquidité
34,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
10.0% / 11.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
28 août 25, 20:45 UTC1 août 99, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes93.1%
- No6.9%
- Volume total
- 190 k €
- Volume 24h
- 190 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.5pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 114,5 k €
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+23.5pt89%
- 2026+37.0pt62%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt36%
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture39.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28.3%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202717%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
- OpenAI85.7%
- Google7.6%
- Reve0.9%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,8 k €
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+0.5pt54%
- June 30, 202742.7%
- 2026-1.4pt3.2%
- Volume total
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 89% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? doit être résolu le 1 août 2099.
- Comment Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.