Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTechSpaceGéopolitiqueMiddle East3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDoes not visit 65.3%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète2 août 26, 17:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
KalshiYear of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “the named outcome”.
- Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.
- Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit.
- Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,9 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 21,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Does not visit à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria