Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Matières premièresGéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-OrientChine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 00:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 mars 26, 19:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran signs a formal peace agreement or comprehensive deal with one or more Middle Eastern countries (Arab states, Israel, or other regional actors) that includes binding commitments on nuclear policy, regional security, or other substantive matters.
- The agreement must be publicly announced and documented by official government sources or major international news outlets.
- This market resolves NO if no such agreement is signed, or if only preliminary statements of intent or non-binding frameworks are reached without formal treaty or accord.
- As of late February 2026, Israel and the United States engaged in coordinated joint attacks on various sites in Iran, starting a major conflict aimed at regime change.
- The attacks included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
