Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
CommoditiesGéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastChina3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète4 mars 26, 19:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhat lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran signs a formal peace agreement or comprehensive deal with one or more Middle Eastern countries (Arab states, Israel, or other regional actors) that includes binding commitments on nuclear policy, regional security, or other substantive matters.
- The agreement must be publicly announced and documented by official government sources or major international news outlets.
- This market resolves NO if no such agreement is signed, or if only preliminary statements of intent or non-binding frameworks are reached without formal treaty or accord.
- As of late February 2026, Israel and the United States engaged in coordinated joint attacks on various sites in Iran, starting a major conflict aimed at regime change.
- The attacks included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 414,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 126,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9 k €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
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- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria