Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
One-OffMiddle EastGéopolitiqueUS Politics4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 22:35 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Market will resolve early in 2027 based on official data from
- https://www.trade.gov/i-94-arrivals-program
- So far, January preliminary data is out and it shows a 2.6% uptick in arrivals from the middle east.
- Iranian arrivals were already down 85% in January.
- Arrivals from Israel Turkey and UAE were higher.
- Flight disruptions will push data in one direction; a desire by citizens to get out of the region could push it in another.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 312,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
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- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 153,3 k €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
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- Netanyahu out by which date?
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- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025? doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market will resolve early in 2027 based on official data from