Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
One-OffMoyen-OrientGéopolitiquePolitique américaine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 22:35 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Market will resolve early in 2027 based on official data from
- https://www.trade.gov/i-94-arrivals-program
- So far, January preliminary data is out and it shows a 2.6% uptick in arrivals from the middle east.
- Iranian arrivals were already down 85% in January.
- Arrivals from Israel Turkey and UAE were higher.
- Flight disruptions will push data in one direction; a desire by citizens to get out of the region could push it in another.
