Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.4%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 nov. 23, 19:40 UTC2 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.
- Any country could be the progenitor as long as it's clearly mostly about the Israel-Hamas conflict or whatever larger conflict grows out of that.
- (e.g. Russia launching a missile at Ukraine does not count, but Russia launching a missile at Israel does count.)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.