Territory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
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This event predicts whether the International Court of Justice (ICJ) will issue a ruling by December 31, 2026 confirming that the Essequibo territory is part of Guyana.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official judgment or order issued by the ICJ regarding the territorial dispute between Guyana and Venezuela.
- If the ICJ issues a ruling during this period confirming Essequibo as part of Guyana, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Procedural decisions or interim measures that do not address the territorial merits will not count.
- If official ICJ documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.