Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
13 déc. 23, 19:27 UTC31 déc. 33, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
Manifold MarketsBreach in the ceasefire deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 2026?
FutuurWill Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsWill the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if such treaty is signed and (if needed) ratified before 2031 by both countries and no armed conflict happens before or for two years after that.