Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNot before 2027 85%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète20 sept. 23, 20:33 UTC1 janv. 28, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBreach in the ceasefire deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 2026?
FutuurWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the earliest date when EITHER Armenia and Azerbaijan exchange military fire outside of the Nagorno-Karabakh region for a continuous period of two weeks or more, OR if military clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan outside of Nagorno-Karabakh result in 100 or more cumulative casualties.