FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 84%
Non 84%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 10 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether there will be a breach of the ceasefire agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan at any time during 2026.
- For this market, a breach means kinetic military action involving the firing of weapons across the ceasefire line.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by the governments of Armenia or Azerbaijan, or reports by internationally recognized monitoring bodies.
- If kinetic military action violating the ceasefire occurs during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Cyber operations, rhetoric, or non-kinetic incidents will not count.