Probabilité implicite actuelle
4,189.5 or 4,189.6 40.3%En tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
215 €
Liquidité
353,1 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
48.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
22 sept. 26, 19:15 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
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KalshiWill the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSeattle vs Salt Lake
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 62614.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The lowest daily reading in the year decides this market, including readings already recorded earlier in 2026; the level does not need to be sustained.
- If USGS does not publish a reading for one or more days, this market will resolve according to the lowest reading among the days that are published.
- USGS reports lake elevation at this gage to 1 decimal place, and values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.
- Should USGS publish a value carrying more decimal places, it will first be rounded half up to 1 decimal place, so that 4,189.45 ft becomes 4,189.5 ft.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+29.0pt48.6%
- 80° to 81°+4.0pt39.5%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 303,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
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- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 à 40.3% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 62614.