Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1 25.8%+1.4ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+21.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
15 avr. 26, 14:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
KalshiIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsRègles
How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be used to resolve the question.
- Tropical storms do not count.
- Pacific storms do not count. "Major Hurricanes" will count as hurricanes.
- If there is any dispute or ambiguity in the number of hurricanes, the market creator will use best judgement to resolve the question.
- The market closes at midnight ET on December 31, 2026 and will resolve on January 1, 2027.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 251,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 244,3 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt92.4%
- 89° to 90°-20.0pt3.8%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt0.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+40.0pt79.8%
- 92° to 93°16.5%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt0.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+27.0pt66.3%
- 84° or below-12.0pt15.4%
- 87° to 88°-12.0pt15.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+23.0pt44.8%
- 87° to 88°-3.0pt18.1%
- 89° to 90°+11.0pt16.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Hurricanes in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 1 à 26% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Hurricanes in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Hurricanes in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many Hurricanes in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?