Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1 74%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+4.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 26, 14:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketHow many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsRègles
How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be used to resolve the question.
- Tropical storms do not count.
- Pacific storms do not count. "Major Hurricanes" will count as hurricanes.
- If there is any dispute or ambiguity in the number of hurricanes, the market creator will use best judgement to resolve the question.
- The market closes at midnight ET on December 31, 2026 and will resolve on January 1, 2027.