Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 95.3% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "The Big One"

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POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-1.2pt4%
• October 31+0.4pt1%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

67 M €

Volume 24h

363,8 k €

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt22.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202813.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.1pt4.5%

KALSHI

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

• No97.5%
• Yes2.5%

Volume total

468,5 k €

Volume 24h

9 k €

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+2.0pt88.8%
• 2-2.0pt11.2%
• 30%

+3 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+72.3pt92.5%
• 5.9 to 6.0-9.4pt2.8%
• 5.3 to 5.4-13.4pt1.9%

+3 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+3.6pt81.5%
• No18.5%

Volume total

389,1 k €

Volume 24h

2,3 k €

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