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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Science
  3. 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.1% (24h)ScienceYearly6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 5%
Qualite du marche

91 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

2,6 k €

Liquidité

30,5 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

4.7% / 4.8%

Spread

2.1%

Spread serré
Variation 7j

-0.3%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

8 déc. 25, 23:2831 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes5%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.