KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 75%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
19.0% / 24.5%
Écart
5.5 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
27 juin 25, 20:45 UTC1 janv. 50, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ReutersThe Washington PostSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalBBC NewsCNNNBC NewsCBS NewsABC NewsFox NewsMSNBCScientific AmericanNatureScience MagazineSpace NewsSpaceflightNowNASAthe European Space AgencySpaceXthe China National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe Indian Space Research Organisationthe Japan Aerospace Exploration AgencyBlue OriginVirgin Galacticthe Mars Societythe Planetary SocietyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg News
Marchés ouverts
SpaceKALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+4.0pt93%
- Above 8+26.0pt70%
- Above 97%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 348,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 60,5 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.5pt1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51%
- No49%
- Volume total
- 254,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.3pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?-1.0pt89%
- Successful splash down?+15.5pt83%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt72%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-5.0pt41%
- Before May 1, 2027-13.0pt37%
+8 résultats de plus
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 75% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.