Probabilité implicite actuelle
Lula da Silva <5% 34%-2.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
257,1 €
Liquidité
100,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
9.7% / 11.9%
Spread
22.7%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+5.3%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
11 févr. 26, 22:514 oct. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Lula da Silva <5%34%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0%1a
-6.0%15%
45%
0%
+8 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total7,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.