Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin America
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelleFujimori 0.2–0.3% 100%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 23 options
Qualite du marche
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 jours
ObsolèteChronologie des Probabilités
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%100%
Fujimori 1%+1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%3%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%15%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%0%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%0%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%0%
Fujimori 0–0.1%0%
Sánchez 0–0.1%1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%0%
Other3%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%0%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%0%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%0%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 1,1 k € | 0 € | il y a 22 jours | |
 Kalshi82% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 94% | — | 0 € | 37,1 k € | il y a 24 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Fermés
Résolu
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
81%
6.9%
5.2%
+7 résultats de plus
19 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité élevée
Volume total76,2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$5.6k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2s-24 j
POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2s-24 jTendance du volume
$1.3k2 juil.4j de données5 juil.
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The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.