PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Eduardo Paes 91%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 16 options
Qualité du marché
82 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
981,1 €
Liquidité
374,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.9 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
7
Variation 7j
-3.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
10 juin 26, 02:25 UTC5 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsElected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026
Futuur🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? · Eduardo Paes 90%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 92%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
