Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
60.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
North Carolina 98%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 25 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
44,6 k €
Liquidité
230 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 avr. 26, 15:151 nov. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If the Indiana legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:state legislaturesSecetaries of Stateany court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in the statethe official election administration office of the state
- These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in Indiana as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption
- For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 1, 2026, the market will resolve to NO
- Clarification (09/03/26): Alabama’s May 2026 legislation providing for special congressional primary elections does not constitute adoption of a new congressional district map for purposes of this Contract.
- The reinstatement and subsequent use of the congressional district map enacted in 2023, including its use in the August 2026 special primary, do not satisfy the Payout Criterion because that map was adopted before Issuance.
- This market may still resolve to “Yes” if the Alabama legislature adopts a new qualifying congressional district map before November 1, 2026 that otherwise satisfies the Payout Criterion.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which states will redistrict before the midterms? ?
- Kalshi cote North Carolina à 98% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which states will redistrict before the midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Which states will redistrict before the midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Indiana legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.