Large states redistrict before 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026IA5j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTexas, as well as California or New York 98%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète4 août 25, 23:44 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
KalshiWhich states will redistrict before the midterms?
KalshiWhich states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
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Manifold MarketsHow will the Nebraska 2026 Senate winner caucus?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Only redistricting that take effect before the midterms counts.
- Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait until the midterms (November 2026) to resolve this market, rather than resolving when redistricting events occur earlier.
