8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
RégulationIAOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionChineÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026Matières premièresMétéo2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.8%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 déc. 25, 11:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold Markets10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Manifold Markets2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
KalshiWill air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
Manifold MarketsRègles
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- ❗ Full title: 8.
